Wall Street's favorite recession signal started flashing red in 2022 and hasn't stopped — and thus far has been wrong every step of the way. Depending on which duration point you think is most ...

When the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield on July 5, 2022, it caught many investors' attention. The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a ...

With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were ...

ORLANDO, Florida, June 4 (Reuters) - Of all the economic rules of thumb the COVID-19 pandemic seemingly ripped up, few have caused as much soul-searching as the inverted U.S. yield curve - though it ...

ORLANDO, Florida, March 15 (Reuters) - When the U.S. yield curve inverts bad things tend to happen. It's a lesson many investors seem reluctant to learn as there's always a tendency to assume it's ...

The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...

Labor-market worries are driving the yield on the two-year Treasury note slightly below the 10-year yield, threatening a run that stretches back to mid-2022. An inverted yield curve, in which ...

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Returns on bonds are finally normalizing. Back in mid-2022, the 2-year yield surpassed the 10-year, creating an anomaly known as the inverted yield curve. Normally, longer-term debt should yield more ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...