“Metaculus” things happen when you gather a wealth of well-reasoned scientific opinion and point it at the future. That’s the premise and the promise of Metaculus.com, a prediction website that rates ...

VDH and Metaculus partnered to launch the first round of the Keep Virginia Safe Forecasting Tournament in April, to inform science-backed public health policymaking within the Commonwealth. The ...

Reactions to Kimmel's suspension, Trump publicly rebukes Putin, and more Length: Long Speed: 1.0x Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a ...

I have made several thousand public predictions at Metaculus. I , Brian Wang, ranked 8th in Baseline Accuracy out of 34617 forecasters. This is a 99.98 percentile ranking. Apparently, some people do ...

Metaculus is an American reputation-based, massive online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine. One of the focuses of Metaculus is predicting the timing, nature and impact of scientific and ...

Elon Musk is known for making bold predictions. In April 2017, he said that by 2021 his brain-computer interface company Neuralink would release a viable product for treating brain injuries. Two years ...

If two minds are better than one, how much better are two thousand minds? A new hive mind project known as Metaculus is attempting to find out. After questions are resolved, the accuracy of the “hive” ...

The World Health Organization’s World Immunization Week holds special significance. Over a dozen new COVID-19 vaccines are being widely distributed in communities around the world. After more than a ...

UK based artificial intelligence startup, ManticAI, has dethroned most human forecasters in an international prediction competition, ranking eighth overall in the Metaculus Cup. AI solutions providing ...

Your support goes further this holiday season. When you buy an annual membership or give a one-time contribution, we’ll give a membership to someone who can’t afford access. It’s a simple way for you ...

A forecasting platform that aggregates insight from thousands of technology experts announced a two-year contest today focused on AI predictions: the future state of key benchmarks in machine learning ...

In 1907, Sir Francis Galton observed a competition in England where 800 entrants guessed the weight of a dead ox. While many of the guesses were far off, Dalton found that the median guess of 1207 ...