Last week, we warned you about those double-digit pointspreads. Teams favored by 10 or more went 0-3 in Week 12. In Week 13, there were just two double-digit spreads, and the favorites went 1-1 against the spread.

Things are always interesting in the NFL, but we've cranked the intensity tenfold after flipping the calendar to December. We're in the final full month of the 2025 regular season, making each contest fall further under the microscope as playoff hopes hang in the balance. That creates fascinating matchups to not only watch, but wager on as well.

Entering the final stretch of the 2025 season, we can see a clear gap between contenders and pretenders, though underdogs are still covering at a fairly high rate.

In the words of a famous wrestling announcer, “the streak is over.” Week 14 will finally bring an end to the Lions’ uncanny ability to avoid back-to-back losses -- a run that dates to Week 8 of the 2022 season -- as they face a surging Dallas Cowboys team.

Our early Saints vs. Falcons predictions and Week 18 leans like Tyler Shough & Co. to cover the FG spread as road underdogs.