The tropics are remaining fairly active, with more potentially dangerous cyclones on the horizon. Already active are the remnants of Belal south of Rodrigues, Cyclone Anggrek west of the Cocos Keeling islands, a tropical depression over the Northern Territory of Australia, and an area of interest in the Coral Sea. The Coral Sea system is raising eyebrows with its high potential threat - the GFS model currently indicates a borderline Category 5 storm on the Australian Scale near landfall in centr
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The tropics are remaining fairly active, with more potentially dang…
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A potential tropical cyclone has been designated in the western Caribbean, and Tropical Storm Watches are now in effect for Jamaica, eastern Cuba, Haiti, southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos islands. All of these locations could receive strong winds and heavy rainfall which could exceed 250mm in some areas. As a result, flooding is also a possibility as this short lived fast moving storm powers through the region. In the Bay of Bengal, a tropical storm is drawing nearer to the coast of
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A potential tropical cyclone has been designated in the western Ca…
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Cyclone Olga has shown some robust strengthening today, and is showing thick banding with high cloud tops wrapping around the center. The cyclone is likely to reach hurricane winds overnight, and peak during the day tomorrow as a Category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Scale (Category 3 Australia). The good news for land interests is that the forecast is solidifying with regards to the storm moving sharply westwards and far away from significantly affecting land, although rip currents a
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Cyclone Olga has shown some robust strengthening today, and i…
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Cyclone Megan continues to push inland over the Northern Territory of Australia, and is now a tropical depression. Whilst the winds have died down and satellite shows a loosening of its upper level rotation, the cyclone still appears to remain sturdy at the lower levels, with large amounts of rainfall and thunderstorms extending northwards towards the Top End. Meanwhile, Tropical Depression 18S continues to hold on and is actually looking better today, with strengthening on the cards. The Bureau
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Cyclone Megan continues to push inland over the Northern Territory …
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Cyclone Warnings are in effect for parts of Western Australia today as a new cyclone takes shape just offshore. The storm is expected to intensify a little and make landfall as a moderate tropical storm (Category 1-2 AU scale) to the east of Cockatoo Island and Derby. The storm is likely to drop up to 200mm of rainfall over a fairly wide area at landfall and inland later on, whilst unrelated rains continue to affect large parts of the interior of Queensland to the east. Elsewhere, Cyclone Courtn
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Cyclone Warnings are in effect for parts of Western Australia today a…
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Cyclone Olga rapidly intensified over the last 24 hours, and is near peak intensity this evening as a powerful Category 4 on the Saffir Simpson Scale, well beyond initial forecasts. Further strengthening is still possible for a short period of time, before poor conditions start to degrade the cyclone. Surprisingly, the storm is still moving slowly southwards, but is expected to turn sharply to the west at any time and then prowl along the coast of Western Australia. However, land impacts are sti
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Cyclone Olga rapidly intensified over the last 24 hours, and is near …
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A new tropical cyclone is forming in the eastern Indian Ocean, not far from the coast of Western Australia. With its circulation becoming more apparant today, the new cyclone is expected to start strengthening considerably, and is likely to reach a Category 2 peak on the Saffir Simpson Scale (Category 3 or 4 AU). Thankfully, the storm does not pose a large threat to land, with its small size and anticipated movement parallel to the coast. Rainfall is also expected to be light, but rough seas and
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